22.04.2026

geopolitics

Attack on the residence of the Supreme Leader of Iran: assessment of military and diplomatic consequences for regional stability

Brief description: The article examines the military and diplomatic consequences of the joint US-Israeli attack on February 28, 2026, which killed Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The unprecedented scale of the operation, the mechanisms for maintaining institutional continuity in Iran (an interim Governing council, a prepared Council of Experts), as well as Tehran’s large-scale

Read More

A potential change of power in Iran: the reaction of key international factors and its possible consequences for regional diplomacy

Short description: In this article it is reviewed a hypothetical scenario of a change of power in Iran after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in 2026 as a result of strikes by the United States and Israel. It is analyzed the internal stability of the regime, the reaction of key international players (the United

Read More

The political situation in Cuba: Island under Pressure: the Energy Crisis and Washington’s New Strategy

Brief description: This article is an analysis of the current critical situation in Cuba, where a sharp escalation of the economic crisis coincided with increased pressure from the administration of Donald Trump. The article examines the consequences of the cessation of Venezuelan oil supplies, tougher sanctions and possible scenarios for the Cuban Revolution, which, according

Read More

Monthly review of the political situation in Africa: Period: February 2026

The crisis of pan-African integration and the formation of competing blocs Brief description: The central trend in January-February 2026 is the disintegration of regional alliances and the transition from a pan-Africanism model to a system of competing military-political blocs. The paper examines the institutional gap in West Africa (the withdrawal of the Sahel countries from

Read More

Monthly review of the political situation in Europe for January-February 2026

Transatlantic turbulence and the search for a new security architecture Short description: The article analyzes the key political processes in Europe in January–February 2026. The focus is on the deepening crisis of trust in relations between the United States and the European Union, the EU’s energy transformation amid the abandonment of Russian resources, as well

Read More

Monthly review of the political situation in Southeast Asia: Period: February 2026

Regional dynamics in the active phase: military pacts, border disputes and socio-cultural rifts Short description: The article analyzes the key political processes in Southeast Asia in February 2026. The focus is on deepening military-technical cooperation between Russia and Myanmar, Indonesia’s dilemmas in the framework of the international mission in Gaza, the results of the parliamentary

Read More

Monthly review of the political situation in Latin America: Period: December 2025 – January 2026

The “Caribbean Domino” Hypothesis: An Analysis of Destabilization Scenarios in the Western Hemisphere Following the Venezuelan Operation Brief overview: The article analyzes a qualitative shift in the United States’ approach to the Western Hemisphere, triggered by a successful military operation to overthrow the government of Venezuela. The focus is placed on the transition from a

Read More

Monthly review of the political situation in the Russian Federation for November-December 2025

Consolidation of the Sovereign Model: institutional reforms and the formation of a foreign policy contour Short description: In November-December 2025, Russia implemented a number of systemic political and legal steps aimed at strengthening domestic sovereignty and reorienting foreign policy relations. The key events were the reform of the Supreme Court to exclude references to the

Read More

Monthly Review of the Political Situation in North America: Period: October–November

«The Crisis of the Pan‑American Model and the Transformation of Regional Leadership» Summary: The article examines key geopolitical events in North America for October–November 2025. The period was marked by profound geopolitical shifts in North America, where the US plans to conduct military operations against Mexican drug cartels triggered an acute crisis in relations with

Read More

BRICS Pay: Financial Architecture, Decentralized Systems, and Trade Geopolitics at the IMBRICS Forum in Saint Petersburg

Since its inception, the BRICS group (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) has emerged as a significant platform for developing countries seeking to diversify their economic relations and strengthen their financial systems against Western influence. Over the years, member countries have advanced in building their own financial architecture, with a clear vision of decentralization

Read More