22.04.2026

Middle East

Attack on the residence of the Supreme Leader of Iran: assessment of military and diplomatic consequences for regional stability

Brief description: The article examines the military and diplomatic consequences of the joint US-Israeli attack on February 28, 2026, which killed Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The unprecedented scale of the operation, the mechanisms for maintaining institutional continuity in Iran (an interim Governing council, a prepared Council of Experts), as well as Tehran’s large-scale

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The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as an factor of Iranian Politics: mechanisms of influence on domestic and international processes

Brief description: The article analyzes the role of the IRGC in Iran’s political system after the attack by the United States and Israel and the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The mechanisms of the corps’ influence on the internal processes of the country and its actions in the international arena, including control over strategic

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Geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulfand its impact on global energy security

Brief description: This article provides an overview of the geopolitical situation in the Persian Gulf region. The causes of conflicts, key players in the region, and potential threats to oil and gas supplies are analyzed. The measures of the international community to stabilize the situation and ensure a sustainable energy balance in the world are

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A potential change of power in Iran: the reaction of key international factors and its possible consequences for regional diplomacy

Short description: In this article it is reviewed a hypothetical scenario of a change of power in Iran after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in 2026 as a result of strikes by the United States and Israel. It is analyzed the internal stability of the regime, the reaction of key international players (the United

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Monthly review of the political situation in the Middle East: Period: January-February 2026

Regional security in the Middle East: the Iranian-American confrontation, the withdrawal of troops from Syria and Turkey’s diplomatic initiatives Short description: This review provides an analysis of the key political and diplomatic events in the Middle East in February 2026. The main focus is on: the escalation of the US-Iranian confrontation; the institutionalization of the

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Monthly Review of the Political Situation in the Middle East: Period: December 2025 – January 2026

Security Architecture in the Middle East at the Beginning of 2026: The ‘Peace Council,’ U.S.–Iran Confrontation, and the Strategic Agreement Between Damascus and Kurdish Forces Brief Overview: The review provides a detailed analysis of the key events and strategic shifts in the Middle East in January 2026. It focuses on three interrelated processes: the launch

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Monthly Review of the Political Situation in the Middle East: Period: October–November 2025

Region in Turbulence: Rolling Back Diplomatic Initiatives and Forming New Alliances Summary: This article examines the key events in the Middle East in November 2025. The reporting period was marked by the definitive winding down of previously discussed diplomatic frameworks, in particular the concept of an international consortium for uranium enrichment involving Iran and the United

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