Short description: In this article it is reviewed a hypothetical scenario of a change of power in Iran after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in 2026 as a result of strikes by the United States and Israel. It is analyzed the internal stability of the regime, the reaction of key international players (the United
Brief description:The article is devoted to the analysis of the political and informational confrontation around the events in relations between the United States and Venezuela. It examines how military and economic actions are accompanied by a struggle for the interpretation of what is happening in the media space, as well as how issues of sovereignty,
Brief description: This article is an analysis of the current critical situation in Cuba, where a sharp escalation of the economic crisis coincided with increased pressure from the administration of Donald Trump. The article examines the consequences of the cessation of Venezuelan oil supplies, tougher sanctions and possible scenarios for the Cuban Revolution, which, according
The path to security in the Ice region: new influences and international initiatives Brief description: This article provides an overview of the current geopolitical situation in the Arctic, where the geopolitical and military situation is intensifying. The participation of European countries, the USA and Russia in the Arctic zone is being considered. The Arctic Sentry
Regional security in the Middle East: the Iranian-American confrontation, the withdrawal of troops from Syria and Turkey’s diplomatic initiatives Short description: This review provides an analysis of the key political and diplomatic events in the Middle East in February 2026. The main focus is on: the escalation of the US-Iranian confrontation; the institutionalization of the
The crisis of pan-African integration and the formation of competing blocs Brief description: The central trend in January-February 2026 is the disintegration of regional alliances and the transition from a pan-Africanism model to a system of competing military-political blocs. The paper examines the institutional gap in West Africa (the withdrawal of the Sahel countries from
Political and diplomatic processes in the Asia-Pacific region and the strategic priorities of the leading Powers Short description: The review analyzes the key political and diplomatic events in East Asia and the Asia-Pacific region in January-February 2026. The main focus is on China’s diplomatic activity against the background of events in Venezuela, its strategy of
Strategic reformatting of the region Summary: The article highlights a number of important events shaping the new political reality in South Asia. The landmark statement by Vice President of the Philippines Sarah Duterte about her intention to run for president in 2028 is being considered, which marks the beginning of a new stage of the
Icebreaker for Coalitions: Shifts in East Asia and the Asia-Pacific region Summary: The article highlights a number of important international events related to East Asia and the Asia-Pacific region, as well as their relations with other states. South Korea’s plans for a test passage of a vessel along the Northern Sea Route and related negotiations
Transatlantic turbulence and the search for a new security architecture Short description: The article analyzes the key political processes in Europe in January–February 2026. The focus is on the deepening crisis of trust in relations between the United States and the European Union, the EU’s energy transformation amid the abandonment of Russian resources, as well